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Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liège, full time in the Belgian Pro League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 3 times in the fixtures we hold, with Westerlo winning 1, Standard Liège winning 1 and 1 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Westerlo beat Standard Liège 4-2 in the Belgian Pro League despite being second-best in possession and attacks for much of the match. Clinical finishing and a ruthless second-half performance did the job.
Westerlo beat Standard Liège 4-2 in the Belgian Pro League despite being second-best in possession and attacks for much of the match. Clinical finishing and a ruthless second-half performance did the job.
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 17:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Westerlo beat Standard Liège 4-2 at home.
Goals
6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
N
12'⚽
Norman Bassette
CAssist: Cameron Congreve
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Westerlo 1.37 xGStandard Liège 1.48 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Standard Liège to win
46%Missed
Result
4:2
KVC v STL
Our model leaned Standard Liège to win at 46%. Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liège. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Westerlo defeated Standard Liège 4-2 in the Belgian Pro League, a result that missed our model's pick of a Standard Liège win at 46% probability. The hosts' attack proved decisive despite Standard's recent form showing three wins in five matches. Both sides found the net, continuing a pattern where Standard had scored in four of their last five outings. Westerlo's victory marked their second win in recent fixtures and handed Standard only their second loss across the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Standard Liège win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
KVC
27.9%
Draw
25.9%
STL
46.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
51.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Standard Liège win was the highest probability; the match result was Westerlo win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.