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EFL Championship · MW9 The Hawthorns, West BromwichRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

West Brom 0-1 Birmingham result, stats and report

West Brom
Lost · xG 0.95
0 – 1
FT 04:15
Won · xG 2.47
Birmingham
Next: West Brom v Southampton · Tue 3 Nov · Birmingham v Millwall · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

West BromBirminghamEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives West Brom win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

West Brom
45.0%
Draw
27.6%
Birmingham
27.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.6%
Over 2.5 goals
43.6%

Full-time forecast audit: West Brom win was the highest probability; the match result was Birmingham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
28%
27%
45.0%West Brom
27.6%Draw
27.4%Birmingham

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.6%No 51.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

44%
Yes 43.6%No 56.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates West Brom or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
49.6%
12
9.0%
X2
41.4%

Half-Time Result

West Brom
32.6%
Draw
44.6%
Birmingham
22.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
West Brom
Draw
Birmingham
West Brom
25.1%
5.5%
1.9%
Draw
15.3%
17.8%
10.8%
Birmingham
2.7%
5.6%
15.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.