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EFL Championship · MW9 The Hawthorns, West BromwichRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

West Brom 0-1 Birmingham result, stats and report

West Brom
West Brom
Lost · xG 0.95
0 – 1
FT 04:15
Birmingham
Won · xG 2.47
Birmingham
Match review
Next: West Brom v Southampton · Tue 3 Nov · Birmingham v Millwall · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won West Brom vs Birmingham?

West Brom 0-1 Birmingham, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Birmingham won it 1–0

West BromBirmingham

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 04:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

West Brom 0–1 Birmingham

Birmingham took all three points from a 1-0 win at West Brom, courtesy of a first-half penalty from August Priske Flyger. West Brom created plenty but lacked the cutting edge to show for it.

EFL ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 12:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Birmingham won 1-0 away at West Brom.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: West Brom 0.95 to Birmingham 2.47 on expected goals.

Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

West Brom 0.95 xGBirmingham 2.47 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

West Brom to win

45%Missed

Result

West Brom0:1Birmingham

West Brom v Birmingham

Our model leaned West Brom to win at 45%. West Brom 0-1 Birmingham. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

West Brom host Birmingham at The Hawthorns on Saturday, 10 October at 11:30 UTC in the EFL Championship. The hosts have won two of their last five but lost three, while Birmingham arrive unbeaten in their past five with two wins and two draws; both sides have shown a tendency toward goals, with West Brom at 60% BTTS and Birmingham at 80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

West Brom v Birmingham · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Max Edward O’LearyWest Brom★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Phil NeumannBirmingham90 min8.0
  3. Christopher James MephamWest Brom90 min7.6
  4. Callum John StylesWest Brom90 min7.5
  5. August PriskeBirmingham1 goal · 69 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

West BromBirminghamEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives West Brom win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

West Brom
45.0%
Draw
27.6%
Birmingham
27.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.6%
Over 2.5 goals
43.6%

Full-time forecast audit: West Brom win was the highest probability; the match result was Birmingham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 25 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 22 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For West Brom, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 25 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For West Brom, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between West Brom and Birmingham, landing 3 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for West Brom.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • West Brom scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Birmingham scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in West Brom vs Birmingham?
    Birmingham beat West Brom 1-0 in the EFL Championship at The Hawthorns.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    August Priske Flyger opened the scoring in the 41st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    August Priske Flyger (41').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Gavin Ward officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    West Brom vs Birmingham kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at The Hawthorns.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    16 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    West Brom play Southampton on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Birmingham play Millwall on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.