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Bundesliga · MW6 wohninvest WESERSTADION, BremenRef: Robert Schröder
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Werder Bremen 2-2 Paderborn result, stats and report

Werder Bremen
Drew · xG 2.50
2 – 2
FT 03:06
Drew · xG 1.26
Paderborn
Next: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen · Sat 7 Nov · Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?

Werder Bremen 2-2 Paderborn, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Werder Bremen 2–2 Paderborn

Werder Bremen controlled 61% of possession and put 11 shots on target but could not hold on, as Paderborn levelled twice to earn a 2-2 draw at the Weserstadion. Niclas Füllkrug scored both Bremen goals yet it was not enough.

Key Takeaways
Result

Werder Bremen and Paderborn drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
S
18'⚽
Stefano Marino
SAssist: Steffen Tigges
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Werder Bremen 2.50 xGPaderborn 1.26 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Werder Bremen to win

40%Missed

Result

Werder Bremen2:2Paderborn

Werder Bremen v PAD

Our model leaned Werder Bremen to win at 40%. Werder Bremen 2-2 Paderborn. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Bremen have drawn three of their last five matches and conceded in four straight, while Paderborn arrive in stronger form with three wins in five games. Both teams scored in four of Bremen's last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Werder Bremen v Paderborn · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Nahuel NollPAD★ MOTM90 min9.0
  2. Niclas FüllkrugWerder Bremen2 goals · 90 min8.0
  3. Youri RegeerWerder Bremen88 min7.7
  4. Steffen TiggesPAD1 goal · 1 assist · 75 min7.6
  5. Santiago CastañedaPAD90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Werder Bremen win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Werder Bremen
40.0%
Draw
25.3%
PAD
34.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Werder Bremen win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Paderborn, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 25% win, 75% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Paderborn, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 39 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Werder Bremen, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 75% draw, 25% loss.Verified final
  • For Werder Bremen, the final recorded goal situation matched 28 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Werder Bremen and Paderborn, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Werder Bremen.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Werder Bremen scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Paderborn scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Werder Bremen have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Werder Bremen vs Paderborn?
    Werder Bremen and PAD drew 2-2 in the Bundesliga at wohninvest WESERSTADION.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Stefano Marino opened the scoring in the 18th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Stefano Marino (18'), Steffen Tigges (30'), Niclas Füllkrug (59'), Niclas Füllkrug (65').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Robert Schröder officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Werder Bremen vs PAD kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time at wohninvest WESERSTADION.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Werder Bremen play VfB Stuttgart on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. PAD play Paderborn on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.