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VfB Stuttgart 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1, full time in the Bundesliga. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and VfB Stuttgart won it.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart delivered a commanding performance to beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 at home, handing the Bundesliga champions a defeat that raised genuine questions about their consistency in the season's final stretch.
Our pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
Result
VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 at home.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: VfB Stuttgart 3.11 to Bayer Leverkusen 0.58 on expected goals.


VfB Stuttgart delivered a commanding performance to beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 at home, handing the Bundesliga champions a defeat that raised genuine questions about their consistency in the season's final stretch.
Read full report →Expected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the Bundesliga standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The match finished 3-1 to VfB Stuttgart.
VfB Stuttgart won the match 3-1.
The match took place on Saturday, 9 May 2026.
Stuttgart beat Leverkusen 3-1 at home in a Bundesliga encounter that confirmed our model's pre-match pick of a Stuttgart win at 40% probability. The hosts dominated despite Leverkusen's recent form; both sides found the net, continuing Stuttgart's perfect streak of both teams scoring across their last five matches. Our model's call landed on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result reshuffled the upper table standings. Stuttgart's 3 points lifted them to 5th place, narrowing the gap to the Champions League spots. Leverkusen remained 4th but saw their 3-game winning streak halted, potentially signaling vulnerability in their title challenge. Our model suggested Stuttgart's inconsistency made this upset plausible given Leverkusen's recent fixture congestion. The defeat marked Leverkusen's second loss of the season.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga · 09/05/2026, 14:30:00