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Bundesliga · MW2 Stuttgart Arena, StuttgartRef: Christian Dingert
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC Köln result, stats and report

VfB Stuttgart
Won · xG 2.25
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 1.00
1. FC Köln
Next: Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart · Wed 14 Oct · Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VfB Stuttgart1. FC KölnBundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfB Stuttgart win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VfB Stuttgart
48.8%
Draw
25.3%
1. FC Köln
25.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.7%
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
25%
26%
48.8%VfB Stuttgart
25.3%Draw
25.9%1. FC Köln

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.7%No 45.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.6%No 46.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VfB Stuttgart or draw at 57.8%; the most likely half-time state is VfB Stuttgart leading at half-time at 39.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.5%.

Double Chance

1X
57.8%
12
7.0%
X2
35.1%

Half-Time Result

VfB Stuttgart
39.9%
Draw
37.4%
1. FC Köln
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VfB Stuttgart
Draw
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
32.3%
5.0%
2.1%
Draw
16.6%
13.8%
7.4%
1. FC Köln
3.4%
5.0%
14.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.