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Serie A · MW4Ref: Francesco Fourneau
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Venezia 2-4 Fiorentina result, stats and report

Venezia
Lost · xG 0.64
2 – 4
FT 15:25
Won · xG 2.99
Fiorentina
Next: Genoa v Venezia · Sun 25 Oct · Inter v Fiorentina · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VeneziaFiorentinaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Venezia win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VEN
55.4%
Draw
21.5%
Fiorentina
23.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.9%
Over 2.5 goals
65.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Venezia win was the highest probability; the match result was Fiorentina win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
22%
23%
55.4%VEN
21.5%Draw
23.1%Fiorentina

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.9%No 40.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 65.8%No 34.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
44%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VEN or draw at 64.5%; the most likely half-time state is VEN leading at half-time at 43.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 16.0%.

Double Chance

1X
64.5%
12
4.2%
X2
31.4%

Half-Time Result

VEN
43.3%
Draw
39.2%
Fiorentina
17.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VEN
Draw
Fiorentina
VEN
37.5%
3.9%
1.4%
Draw
21.4%
13.6%
5.3%
Fiorentina
3.3%
5.2%
8.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
16.0%
No
84.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.