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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW19Ref: Christian Moen
Full time

Vålerenga 3-4 Molde result, stats and report

Vålerenga
Lost · xG 1.69
3 – 4
FT 11:35
Won · xG 0.99
Molde
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VålerengaMoldeNorwegian Eliteserien

The provider forecast gives Molde win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VÅL
36.2%
Draw
22.4%
MOL
41.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.0%
Over 2.5 goals
67.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Molde win was the highest probability; the match result was Molde win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
22%
41%
36.2%VÅL
22.4%Draw
41.4%MOL

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 66.0%No 34.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 67.0%No 33.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
46%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOL or draw at 56.1%; the most likely half-time state is MOL leading at half-time at 42.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.7%.

Double Chance

1X
40.6%
12
3.3%
X2
56.1%

Half-Time Result

VÅL
23.7%
Draw
33.5%
MOL
42.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VÅL
Draw
MOL
VÅL
15.8%
4.5%
4.4%
Draw
10.6%
11.7%
12.6%
MOL
2.8%
6.0%
31.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.7%
No
90.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.