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La Liga · MW7 Estadio de Mestalla, ValenciaRef: José Luis Munuera Montero
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad result, stats and report

Valencia
Valencia
Lost · xG 2.10
2 – 3
FT 08:55
Real Sociedad
Won · xG 2.53
Real Sociedad
Match review
Next: Valencia v Athletic Club · Sat 17 Oct · Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Valencia winning 1, Real Sociedad winning 0 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Real Sociedad won it 3–2

ValenciaReal Sociedad

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 08:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad came from behind to beat Valencia 3-2 at Mestalla, with an 84th-minute own goal and a 90th-minute Ander Barrenetxea finish doing the damage. Valencia had the ball, the shots, and the desire. They did not have the basics when it mattered.

La LigaSun 20 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Real Sociedad won 3-2 away at Valencia.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
L
26'⚽
Luka Sucic
JAssist: Job Ochieng
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Valencia 2.10 xGReal Sociedad 2.53 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Real Sociedad to win

38%Matched

Result

Valencia2:3Real Sociedad

Valencia v Real Sociedad

Our model called Real Sociedad to win at 38%. Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Real Sociedad won 3-2 at Valencia in a match where our model backed the visitors at 38 percent probability, a pick that landed. Luka Sucic opened the scoring in the 26th minute for Sociedad. Valencia equalized through Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva in the 57th minute, but Carlos Soler's penalty conversion in the 75th minute proved decisive in securing the away victory at Mestalla. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Valencia v Real Sociedad · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Carlos SolerReal Sociedad★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.0
  2. Arnaut DanjumaValencia88 min7.5
  3. Luka SucicReal Sociedad1 goal · 87 min7.4
  4. Luken BeitiaReal Sociedad90 min7.3
  5. David OtorbiValencia44 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ValenciaReal SociedadLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Real Sociedad win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Valencia
34.0%
Draw
27.5%
Real Sociedad
38.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Real Sociedad win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Valencia and Real Sociedad, landing 4 times across 27 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12/27recorded league meetings saw both teams score (44.4%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Valencia scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Sociedad scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Valencia have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Sociedad have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arnaut Danjuma has the highest listed average xGOT for Valencia at 0.43 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
    Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3-2 in the La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Luka Sucic opened the scoring in the 26th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Luka Sucic (26'), Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva (57'), Carlos Soler (75'), Luken Beitia (84', og), Ander Barrenetxea (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    José Luis Munuera Montero officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Valencia vs Real Sociedad kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time at Estadio de Mestalla.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Valencia play Athletic Club on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. Real Sociedad play Union Saint-Gilloise on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.