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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Goga Kikacheishvili
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad result, stats and report

Union Saint-Gilloise
Drew · xG 2.14
1 – 1
FT 03:15
Drew · xG 0.55
Real Sociedad
Next: Celta Vigo v Union Saint-Gilloise · Thu 5 Nov · Real Sociedad v Lyon · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Union Saint-GilloiseReal SociedadUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Union Saint-Gilloise win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

USG
50.0%
Draw
24.4%
Real Sociedad
25.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.1%
Over 2.5 goals
55.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Union Saint-Gilloise win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
24%
26%
50.0%USG
24.4%Draw
25.6%Real Sociedad

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.1%No 45.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.6%No 44.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates USG or draw at 59.8%; the most likely half-time state is USG leading at half-time at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.6%.

Double Chance

1X
59.8%
12
5.8%
X2
34.5%

Half-Time Result

USG
40.3%
Draw
39.8%
Real Sociedad
19.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
USG
Draw
Real Sociedad
USG
35.6%
4.2%
1.6%
Draw
19.8%
11.9%
6.8%
Real Sociedad
3.0%
6.2%
10.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.6%
No
89.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.