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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW1 De Grolsch Veste, EnschedeRef: Genc Nuza
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Twente 1-0 Thun result, stats and report

Twente
Won · xG 2.29
1 – 0
FT 06:05
Lost · xG 0.23
Thun
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Twente v Willem II · Sun 22 Nov · Young Boys v Thun · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Twente win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Twente
59.6%
Draw
19.9%
THU
20.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.1%
Over 2.5 goals
69.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Twente win was the highest probability; the match result was Twente win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

60%
20%
20%
59.6%Twente
19.9%Draw
20.5%THU

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

69%
Yes 69.1%No 30.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
47%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.1%
1-1
8.0%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Twente or draw at 64.1%; the most likely half-time state is Twente leading at half-time at 46.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 20.8%.

Double Chance

1X
64.1%
12
3.4%
X2
32.5%

Half-Time Result

Twente
46.3%
Draw
35.6%
THU
18.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Twente
Draw
THU
Twente
40.8%
3.7%
2.0%
Draw
18.6%
9.7%
5.5%
THU
3.4%
5.4%
10.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
20.8%
No
79.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.