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Eredivisie · MW7 De Grolsch Veste, EnschedeRef: Serdar Gözübüyük
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven result, stats and report

Twente
Won · xG 2.22
3 – 2
FT 02:25
Lost · xG 0.98
PSV Eindhoven
Next: Lincoln Red Imps v Twente · Thu 22 Oct · Porto v PSV Eindhoven · Tue 20 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TwentePSV EindhovenEredivisie

The provider forecast gives PSV Eindhoven win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Twente
38.1%
Draw
22.0%
PSV Eindhoven
39.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.5%
Over 2.5 goals
65.6%

Full-time forecast audit: PSV Eindhoven win was the highest probability; the match result was Twente win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
22%
40%
38.1%Twente
22.0%Draw
39.9%PSV Eindhoven

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 64.5%No 35.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 65.6%No 34.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Twente or draw at 58.0%; the most likely half-time state is Twente leading at half-time at 37.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.4%.

Double Chance

1X
58.0%
12
3.5%
X2
38.6%

Half-Time Result

Twente
37.1%
Draw
35.5%
PSV Eindhoven
27.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Twente
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
28.3%
5.6%
2.9%
Draw
15.0%
11.8%
9.1%
PSV Eindhoven
2.5%
5.0%
19.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.4%
No
91.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.