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Tromsø 3-2 HamKam, full time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Tromsø won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Tromsø ground out a 3-2 win over HamKam at home, with Vegard Erlien's header and a HamKam own goal in the final ten minutes doing the damage. HamKam had four shots all game. Four.
Tromsø ground out a 3-2 win over HamKam at home, with Vegard Erlien's header and a HamKam own goal in the final ten minutes doing the damage. HamKam had four shots all game. Four.
Norwegian EliteserienSun 20 Sept, 16:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Tromsø beat HamKam 3-2 at home.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Tromsø 2.38 to HamKam 0.26 on expected goals.
First Goal
M
41'⚽
Mohamed Ofkir
DAssist: David Benjamin
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Tromsø 2.38 xGHamKam 0.26 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Tromsø to win
55%Matched
Result
3:2
TRO v HAM
Our model called Tromsø to win at 55%. Tromsø 3-2 HamKam. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Tromsø beat HamKam 3-2 in Norwegian Eliteserien, landing our model's 55% pick for a home win. Mohamed Ofkir put HamKam ahead in the 41st minute, but Morten Bjørlo levelled before half-time and Heine Åsen Larsen added a second-half goal to secure the result. Both sides found the net, extending Tromsø's recent pattern of games with goals at both ends. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Tromsø win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
TRO
55.3%
Draw
24.0%
HAM
20.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.6%
Over 2.5 goals
51.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Tromsø win was the highest probability; the match result was Tromsø win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.