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EFL Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 KO Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Swansea vs Burnley prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Swansea 45%Draw 27%Burnley 28%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

SwanseaBurnleyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Swansea win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.5%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Swansea
44.5%
Draw
27.3%
Burnley
28.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.9%
Over 2.5 goals
47.5%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
27%
28%
44.5%Swansea
27.3%Draw
28.2%Burnley

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.9%No 49.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Swansea or draw at 54.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
54.1%
12
8.7%
X2
37.2%

Half-Time Result

Swansea
33.9%
Draw
42.6%
Burnley
23.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Swansea
Draw
Burnley
Swansea
26.4%
5.5%
2.2%
Draw
15.6%
17.2%
9.8%
Burnley
3.1%
5.3%
15.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.