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EFL Championship · MW7 Swansea.com Stadium, SwanseaRef: James Bell
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Swansea 3-1 Burnley result, stats and report

Swansea
Swansea
Won · xG 1.46
3 – 1
FT 08:35
Burnley
Lost · xG 1.24
Burnley
Match review
Next: QPR v Swansea · Sat 24 Oct · Lincoln City v Burnley · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Swansea vs Burnley?

Swansea 3-1 Burnley, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Match Review · published 13 Sept 2026, 00:00 BST

Swansea 3-1 Burnley: Idah and Vipotnik Punish Burnley's Woeful Defending

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Swansea put Burnley to the sword at home, winning 3-1 in the EFL Championship with goals from Adam Idah, Moussa Yeo, and substitute Zan Vipotnik. Burnley arrived with no wins in their last five Championship matches and left looking every bit as fragile as t…

Read the review
How it played out

Swansea won it 3–1

SwanseaBurnley

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 08:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Swansea 3–1 Burnley

Swansea put Burnley to the sword at home, winning 3-1 in the EFL Championship with goals from Adam Idah, Moussa Yeo, and substitute Zan Vipotnik. Burnley arrived with no wins in their last five Championship matches and left looking every bit as fragile as that record suggests.

EFL ChampionshipSat 12 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Swansea beat Burnley 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
14'⚽
Adam Idah
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea 1.46 xGBurnley 1.24 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Swansea to win

48%Matched

Result

Swansea3:1Burnley

Swansea v Burnley

Our model called Swansea to win at 48%. Swansea 3-1 Burnley. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Swansea beat Burnley 3-1 at the Swansea.com Stadium in an EFL Championship fixture that went largely to form. Our model favoured a Swansea win at 48 per cent probability, and the pick landed. Swansea's recent run of three wins in five matches proved decisive against a Burnley side winless in its last five outings. Both teams found the net, continuing patterns established across their recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Swansea v Burnley · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Melker WidellSwansea★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Igor Julio1 assist · 90 min7.6
  3. Moussa Yeo1 goal · 64 min7.5
  4. Kyle WalkerBurnley90 min7.4
  5. Zan VipotnikSwansea1 goal · 26 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SwanseaBurnleyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Swansea win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Swansea
48.0%
Draw
27.0%
Burnley
24.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.0%
Over 2.5 goals
44.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Swansea win was the highest probability; the match result was Swansea win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-2is the most common scoreline between Swansea and Burnley, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 24league matches at home unbeaten for Swansea.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 43league matches away from home unbeaten for Burnley.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Swansea scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burnley scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Swansea have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burnley have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Joseph Opoku has the highest listed average xGOT for Swansea at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Swansea vs Burnley?
    Swansea beat Burnley 3-1 in the EFL Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Adam Idah opened the scoring in the 14th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Adam Idah (14'), Moussa Yeo (33'), Largie Ramazani (58'), Zan Vipotnik (68').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    James Bell officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Swansea vs Burnley kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at Swansea.com Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Swansea play QPR on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Burnley play Lincoln City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.