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Carabao Cup Stadium of Light, SunderlandRef: Paul Tierney
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sunderland 1-0 Hull City result, stats and report

Sunderland
Won · xG 1.09
1 – 0
FT 17:15
Lost · xG 0.77
Hull City
Next: Torreense v Sunderland · Thu 15 Oct · Fulham v Hull City · Sat 17 Oct
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Who won Sunderland vs Hull City?

Sunderland 1-0 Hull City, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Sunderland won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 17:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Sunderland 1–0 Hull City

Chemsdine Talbi's right-foot finish on 71 minutes was enough to send Hull City past Sunderland in the Carabao Cup, despite the hosts enjoying more territory and creating the bigger volume of chances.

Key Takeaways
Result

Sunderland beat Hull City 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
C
71'⚽
Chemsdine Talbi
TAssist: Thomas Meunier
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland 1.09 xGHull City 0.77 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Sunderland to win

43%Matched

Result

Sunderland1:0Hull City

Sunderland v Hull City

Our model called Sunderland to win at 43%. Sunderland 1-0 Hull City. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Sunderland beat Hull City 1-0 at the Stadium of Light in the Carabao Cup. Our model backed a Sunderland win at 43 percent probability, and the pick landed. The result bucked Sunderland's recent pattern; they had seen both teams score in all five of their last matches, though Hull had failed to find the net this time. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sunderland v Hull City · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Trai HumeSunderland★ MOTM90 min8.0
  2. Chemsdine TalbiSunderland1 goal · 86 min7.3
  3. Thomas Meunier1 assist · 25 min7.2
  4. Chris RiggSunderland90 min7.2
  5. Jocelin Ta BiSunderland90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Sunderland win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
27.1%
Hull City
30.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
45.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Sunderland win was the highest probability; the match result was Sunderland win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 4league matches away from home winless for Hull City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sunderland scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hull City scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sunderland have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hull City have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Abdoullah Ba has the highest listed average xGOT for Sunderland at 0.22 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Regan Slater has the highest listed average xGOT for Hull City at 0.00 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Sunderland vs Hull City?
    Sunderland beat Hull City 1-0 in the Carabao Cup at Stadium of Light.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Chemsdine Talbi opened the scoring in the 71st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Chemsdine Talbi (71').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Paul Tierney officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Sunderland vs Hull City kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time at Stadium of Light.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    19 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Sunderland play Torreense on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time. Hull City play Fulham on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.