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Premier League · MW2 Stadium of Light, SunderlandRef: Michael Salisbury
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sunderland 1-0 Fulham result, stats and report

Sunderland
Won · xG 0.29
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.30
Fulham
Next: Sunderland v Brighton · Sat 10 Oct · Ipswich v Fulham · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SunderlandFulhamPremier League

The provider forecast gives Sunderland win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sunderland
39.4%
Draw
27.2%
Fulham
33.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.4%
Over 2.5 goals
45.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
27%
33%
39.4%Sunderland
27.2%Draw
33.5%Fulham

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.1%No 54.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Fulham or draw at 45.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.4%.

Double Chance

1X
45.5%
12
8.8%
X2
45.7%

Half-Time Result

Sunderland
26.5%
Draw
46.1%
Fulham
27.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sunderland
Draw
Fulham
Sunderland
19.2%
5.2%
2.5%
Draw
13.2%
19.0%
13.4%
Fulham
2.4%
5.7%
19.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.