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Austrian Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Sebastian Gishamer
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK Linz result, stats and report

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Won · xG 2.17
2 – 1
FT 08:35
LASK Linz
Lost · xG 2.34
LASK Linz
Match review
Next: Sturm Graz v Celje · Thu 5 Nov · LASK Linz v Slovan Bratislava · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?

Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK Linz, full time in the Austrian Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Sturm Graz winning 0, LASK Linz winning 0 and 2 drawn.

How it played out

STU won it 2–1

STUASK

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 08:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Sturm Graz 2–1 LASK Linz

Sturm Graz won 2-1 against LASK Linz on Sunday, with substitute Oumar Diakité scoring the decisive goal nine minutes after coming on to end LASK's five-match winning run in the Austrian Bundesliga.

Austrian BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 16:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Sturm Graz beat LASK Linz 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
34'⚽
Gizo Mamageishvili
SAssist: Simon Seidl
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturm Graz 2.17 xGLASK Linz 2.34 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

LASK Linz to win

40%Missed

Result

Sturm Graz2:1LASK Linz

STU v ASK

Our model leaned LASK Linz to win at 40%. Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK Linz. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Sturm Graz beat LASK Linz 2-1 in the Austrian Bundesliga. Our model backed LASK at 40% probability to win; the pick missed. Sturm dominated the fixture despite LASK's recent struggles, which included two losses in their last five matches and zero both-teams-to-score outcomes. The home side's attacking threat proved decisive in a match that ended goals at both ends. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sturm Graz v LASK Linz · Austrian Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Arjan MalicSTU★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min8.0
  2. George BelloASK90 min7.8
  3. Gizo MamageishviliSTU1 goal · 61 min7.5
  4. Melayro BogardeASK77 min7.4
  5. Filip RózgaSTU29 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sturm GrazLASK LinzAustrian Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives LASK Linz win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STU
34.2%
Draw
26.2%
ASK
39.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.9%
Over 2.5 goals
56.0%

Full-time forecast audit: LASK Linz win was the highest probability; the match result was Sturm Graz win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-2is the most common scoreline between Sturm Graz and LASK Linz, landing 5 times across 32 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 17/32recorded league meetings saw both teams score (53.1%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for Sturm Graz.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 13league matches away from home unbeaten for LASK Linz.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sturm Graz scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • LASK Linz scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sturm Graz have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • LASK Linz have averaged 2.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Otar Kiteishvili has the highest listed average xGOT for Sturm Graz at 0.54 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alessandro Schöpf has the highest listed average xGOT for LASK Linz at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
    STU beat ASK 2-1 in the Austrian Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Gizo Mamageishvili opened the scoring in the 34th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Gizo Mamageishvili (34'), Krystof Danek (48'), Oumar Diakité (59').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sebastian Gishamer officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    STU vs ASK kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    STU play Sturm Graz on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. ASK play LASK Linz on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.