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Austrian Bundesliga · MW9Ref: Julian Weinberger
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sturm Graz 6-1 Grazer AK result, stats and report

Sturm Graz
Won · xG 4.00
6 – 1
FT 02:45
Lost · xG 0.51
Grazer AK
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sturm Graz v Salzburg · Sun 8 Nov · Grazer AK v SK Rapid · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sturm GrazGrazer AKAustrian Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Sturm Graz win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

STU
48.2%
Draw
25.6%
GAK
26.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.1%
Over 2.5 goals
51.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Sturm Graz win was the highest probability; the match result was Sturm Graz win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
26%
26%
48.2%STU
25.6%Draw
26.2%GAK

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.6%No 48.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STU or draw at 53.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.9%.

Double Chance

1X
53.4%
12
7.4%
X2
39.2%

Half-Time Result

STU
31.9%
Draw
42.1%
GAK
26.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
STU
Draw
GAK
STU
27.5%
4.8%
2.6%
Draw
15.4%
15.3%
9.9%
GAK
3.5%
5.6%
15.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.9%
No
92.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.