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EFL Championship · MW4 bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, StaffordshireRef: Andrew Kitchen
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Stoke City 1-0 Norwich result, stats and report

Stoke City
Won · xG 0.18
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.63
Norwich
Next: Stoke City v Middlesbrough · Tue 13 Oct · Norwich v Southampton · Wed 14 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Stoke CityNorwichEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Stoke City
35.1%
Draw
25.5%
Norwich
39.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.0%
Over 2.5 goals
54.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
26%
39%
35.1%Stoke City
25.5%Draw
39.4%Norwich

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Norwich or draw at 47.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
46.0%
12
6.2%
X2
47.8%

Half-Time Result

Stoke City
25.8%
Draw
44.8%
Norwich
29.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Stoke City
Draw
Norwich
Stoke City
18.0%
5.5%
2.8%
Draw
11.8%
16.9%
15.3%
Norwich
2.3%
5.4%
22.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.