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Swiss Super League · MW5Ref: Luca Piccolo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Gallen 3-4 Thun result, stats and report

St. Gallen
Lost · xG 1.11
3 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.01
Thun
Next: Young Boys v St. Gallen · Sat 24 Oct · Twente v Thun · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. GallenThunSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives St. Gallen win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ST.
48.6%
Draw
23.5%
THU
27.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.6%
Over 2.5 goals
63.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
23%
28%
48.6%ST.
23.5%Draw
27.9%THU

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 63.6%No 36.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.0%No 37.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ST. or draw at 56.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.7%.

Double Chance

1X
56.1%
12
4.5%
X2
39.4%

Half-Time Result

ST.
34.2%
Draw
40.6%
THU
25.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ST.
Draw
THU
ST.
26.1%
4.9%
3.8%
Draw
16.9%
13.4%
9.3%
THU
4.3%
5.8%
15.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.7%
No
88.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.