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Major League SoccerRef: Katja Koroleva
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union result, stats and report

Sporting KC
Lost · xG 1.49
3 – 4
FT 16:55
Won · xG 0.66
Philadelphia Union
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting KCPhiladelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Philadelphia Union win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SKC
23.5%
Draw
21.9%
PHI
54.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.3%
Over 2.5 goals
64.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Philadelphia Union win was the highest probability; the match result was Philadelphia Union win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

24%
22%
55%
23.5%SKC
21.9%Draw
54.6%PHI

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.3%No 37.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 64.0%No 36.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PHI or draw at 60.0%; the most likely half-time state is PHI leading at half-time at 40.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
36.1%
12
4.0%
X2
60.0%

Half-Time Result

SKC
23.4%
Draw
36.2%
PHI
40.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SKC
Draw
PHI
SKC
12.3%
5.8%
4.5%
Draw
7.7%
11.3%
16.1%
PHI
1.6%
5.5%
35.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.