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Major League SoccerRef: Chris Penso
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sporting KC 3-1 Los Angeles FC result, stats and report

Sporting KC
Won · xG 2.16
3 – 1
FT 20:15
Lost · xG 2.38
Los Angeles FC
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting KCLos Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives Los Angeles FC win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SKC
20.8%
Draw
23.8%
LAF
55.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.8%
Over 2.5 goals
50.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Los Angeles FC win was the highest probability; the match result was Sporting KC win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

21%
24%
55%
20.8%SKC
23.8%Draw
55.4%LAF

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LAF or draw at 54.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.8%.

Double Chance

1X
38.2%
12
7.2%
X2
54.6%

Half-Time Result

SKC
23.2%
Draw
39.3%
LAF
37.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SKC
Draw
LAF
SKC
12.4%
5.2%
4.7%
Draw
7.6%
12.2%
17.2%
LAF
1.7%
4.9%
34.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.8%
No
98.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.