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Belgian Pro League · MW5Ref: Nicolas Laforge
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sporting Charleroi 2-3 Union Saint-Gilloise result, stats and report

Sporting Charleroi
Lost · xG 2.46
2 – 3
FT 11:45
Won · xG 1.29
Union Saint-Gilloise
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Standard Liège v Sporting Charleroi · Sun 11 Oct · Union Saint-Gilloise v OH Leuven · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting CharleroiUnion Saint-GilloiseBelgian Pro League

The provider forecast gives Sporting Charleroi win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SPC
39.8%
Draw
26.6%
USG
33.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.8%
Over 2.5 goals
56.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Sporting Charleroi win was the highest probability; the match result was Union Saint-Gilloise win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
27%
34%
39.8%SPC
26.6%Draw
33.6%USG

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.8%No 41.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.7%No 43.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SPC or draw at 48.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.9%.

Double Chance

1X
48.9%
12
6.0%
X2
45.0%

Half-Time Result

SPC
32.3%
Draw
40.4%
USG
27.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SPC
Draw
USG
SPC
24.6%
5.4%
2.2%
Draw
14.0%
16.6%
10.5%
USG
2.7%
5.9%
18.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.9%
No
93.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.