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Liga Portugal ยท MW6Ref: David Rafael Oliveira Silva
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Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril result, stats and report

Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
Won ยท xG 2.09
1 โ€“ 0
FT
Estoril
Lost ยท xG 0.74
Estoril
Match review
Next: Santa Clara v Sporting Braga ยท Sun 20 Sept ยท Estoril v Casa Pia ยท Sun 20 Sept
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Sporting Braga vs Estoril: what we can confirm

Sporting Braga vs Estoril has finished in Liga Portugal. Played UK time.

Match Review ยท published 14 Sept 2026, 22:50 BST

Jonas Wind Seals It Late: Sporting Braga 1-0 Estoril

By SportSignals Match Desk ยท Football analysis desk ยท

Jonas Wind came off the bench to score with seven minutes left and hand Sporting Braga a hard-fought 1-0 win over a dogged but disciplined Estoril side in Liga Portugal.

Read the review
How it played out

SBR won it 1โ€“0

SBRETR
HT
Provider final ยท 07:25 ยท archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

๐Ÿ“Š Match recap and data context

Sporting Braga defeated Estoril 1-0 in Liga Portugal, with Jonas Wind scoring in the 83rd minute to settle the match. Our model backed a Braga win at 63% probability, and the pick landed. Braga's recent form showed three wins in five games, while Estoril arrived winless across their last five outings. The visitors managed to keep a clean sheet despite both sides showing a 60% tendency toward both teams scoring in recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sporting Braga v Estoril ยท Liga Portugal ยท

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions ยท Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Gustaf Lagerbielkeโ˜… MOTM81 min8.1
  2. Jovan Milosevic90 min7.6
  3. Jonas Wind1 goal ยท 9 min7.3
  4. Adrian Bajrami44 min7.1
  5. Adrian Leon Barisic58 min6.9

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting BragaEstorilLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting Braga win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SBR
63.0%
Draw
22.7%
ETR
14.4%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
44.2%
Over 2.5 goals
47.5%

Forecast result checked ยท

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision ยท no Tip to settle

No alternative Tips are published right now

This fixture has ended. The public ledger and methodology remain available for the final pre-match decision.

View the Tips ledgerHow Tips qualify
Match facts ยท what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-2is the most common scoreline between Sporting Braga and Estoril, landing 3 times across 20 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9/20recorded league meetings saw both teams score (45%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 40league matches at home unbeaten for Sporting Braga.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sporting Braga scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estoril scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sporting Braga have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estoril have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fran Navarro has the highest listed average xGOT for Sporting Braga at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tiago Parreira Parente has the highest listed average xGOT for Estoril at 0.80 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot ยท Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Sporting Braga vs Estoril?
    SBR beat ETR 1-0 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jonas Wind opened the scoring in the 83rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jonas Wind (83').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    David Rafael Oliveira Silva officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    SBR vs ETR kicked off on Monday, 14 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score โ€” No, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    SBR play Santa Clara on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time. ETR play Estoril on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.