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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Martin Matoša
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrøm result, stats and report

Sparta Praha
Drew · xG 1.02
1 – 1
FT 03:25
Drew · xG 0.53
Lillestrøm
Next: Sarpsborg 08 v Lillestrøm · Sun 22 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sparta PrahaLillestrømUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Sparta Praha win the highest 1X2 probability at 58.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SPA
58.4%
Draw
20.5%
LIL
21.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
61.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Sparta Praha win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
20%
21%
58.4%SPA
20.5%Draw
21.1%LIL

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.4%No 42.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.3%No 38.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SPA or draw at 63.7%; the most likely half-time state is SPA leading at half-time at 48.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.7%.

Double Chance

1X
63.7%
12
4.3%
X2
32.0%

Half-Time Result

SPA
48.3%
Draw
33.5%
LIL
18.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SPA
Draw
LIL
SPA
43.1%
4.1%
1.7%
Draw
16.2%
10.7%
5.7%
LIL
3.5%
3.9%
11.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.7%
No
84.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.