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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Sparta Praha dominated from start to finish but could not hold on, as Thomas Lehne Olsen equalised in stoppage time to earn Lillestrøm a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Europa League.
Sparta Praha dominated from start to finish but could not hold on, as Thomas Lehne Olsen equalised in stoppage time to earn Lillestrøm a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Europa League.
UEFA Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 17:45
Key Takeaways
Result
Sparta Praha and Lillestrøm drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
56'⚽
Josimar Alcócer
JAssist: Jonatan Braut Brunes
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha 1.02 xGLillestrøm 0.53 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Sparta Praha to win
58%Missed
Result
1:1
SPA v LIL
Our model leaned Sparta Praha to win at 58%. Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrøm. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Sparta Praha and Lillestrøm drew 1-1 in their Europa League encounter. Our model backed Sparta Praha to win at 58% probability, a pick that missed. Josimar Alcócer put Sparta ahead in the 56th minute, but Thomas Lehne Olsen equalised deep into stoppage time at 90+1, denying the home side victory. Both sides found the net despite Lillestrøm's poor recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Sparta Praha win the highest 1X2 probability at 58.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
SPA
58.4%
Draw
20.5%
LIL
21.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
61.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Sparta Praha win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
9 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Lillestrøm, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 50% win, 50% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Sparta Praha, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 33 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Lillestrøm, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 2 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 50% win, 50% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Sparta Praha, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 4 comparable matches from 33 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
6league matches at home unbeaten for Sparta Praha.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Sparta Praha scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Sparta Praha have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Tobias Guddal has the highest listed average xGOT for Sparta Praha at 1.21 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Thomas Lehne Olsen has the highest listed average xGOT for Lillestrøm at 0.87 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm?