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EFL Championship · MW9 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, HampshireRef: Adam Herczeg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth result, stats and report

Southampton
Southampton
Won · xG 0.85
1 – 0
FT 21:45
Portsmouth
Lost · xG 1.00
Portsmouth
Match review
Next: Southampton v QPR · Sat 31 Oct · Burnley v Portsmouth · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Southampton vs Portsmouth?

Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which landed.

How it played out

Southampton won it 1–0

SouthamptonPortsmouth

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 22:16Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth

James Bree's 20th-minute goal proved enough as Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 in a feisty South Coast derby, with Cameron Bragg's second yellow before half-time leaving Pompey to chase the game with ten men.

EFL ChampionshipSun 11 Oct, 12:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
20'⚽
James Bree
FAssist: Finn Azaz
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton 0.85 xGPortsmouth 1.00 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Southampton to win

60%Matched

Result

Southampton1:0Portsmouth

Southampton v Portsmouth

Our model called Southampton to win at 60%. Southampton 1-0 Portsmouth. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Our model backs Southampton to win at St. Mary's Stadium on October 11th at 11:00 UTC, pricing the home victory at 60 percent probability. The Saints have won two of their last five while drawing two, with both teams scoring in all five recent outings. Portsmouth arrive with two wins, one draw and two losses over the same span, though they've seen goals at both ends in four of five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Southampton v Portsmouth · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. James Bree★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.1
  2. Ryan ManningSouthampton90 min7.7
  3. Finn AzazSouthampton1 assist · 90 min7.5
  4. Keven Schlotterbeck90 min7.4
  5. Ebou AdamsPortsmouth65 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SouthamptonPortsmouthEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Southampton
59.5%
Draw
23.3%
Portsmouth
17.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.5%
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Southampton win was the highest probability; the match result was Southampton win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Portsmouth, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Portsmouth, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 99 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Southampton, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 10 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Southampton, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Southampton and Portsmouth, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 42league matches at home unbeaten for Southampton.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Southampton scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Portsmouth scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Southampton have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Southampton vs Portsmouth?
    Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 in the EFL Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    James Bree opened the scoring in the 20th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    James Bree (20').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Adam Herczeg officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Southampton vs Portsmouth kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Southampton play QPR on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Portsmouth play Burnley on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.