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EFL Championship · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 KO St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire

Southampton vs Bristol City prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Southampton 50%Draw 27%Bristol City 22%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

SouthamptonBristol CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Southampton
50.1%
Draw
27.5%
Bristol City
22.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.8%
Over 2.5 goals
46.0%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
27%
22%
50.1%Southampton
27.5%Draw
22.4%Bristol City

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.8%No 51.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46%
Yes 46.0%No 54.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Southampton or draw at 55.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.6%.

Double Chance

1X
55.3%
12
9.3%
X2
35.4%

Half-Time Result

Southampton
36.4%
Draw
43.3%
Bristol City
20.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Southampton
Draw
Bristol City
Southampton
28.4%
5.4%
2.3%
Draw
17.5%
16.4%
9.4%
Bristol City
3.6%
5.0%
12.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.6%
No
92.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.