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EFL Championship · MW7 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, HampshireRef: Samuel Allison
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Southampton 4-1 Bristol City result, stats and report

Southampton
Southampton
Won · xG 1.95
4 – 1
FT 08:55
Bristol City
Lost · xG 2.43
Bristol City
Match review
Next: Southampton v QPR · Sat 31 Oct · Bolton Wanderers v Bristol City · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Southampton vs Bristol City?

Southampton 4-1 Bristol City, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Match Review · published 12 Sept 2026, 23:30 BST

Southampton 4-1 Bristol City: Larin Brace Seals Commanding Home Win

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Southampton put Bristol City to the sword at St Mary's, with Cyle Larin scoring twice and the hosts converting their chances with clinical efficiency in a 4-1 Championship victory. The scoreline tells you everything you need to know about who competed harde…

Read the review
How it played out

Southampton won it 4–1

SouthamptonBristol City

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 08:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Southampton 4–1 Bristol City

Southampton put Bristol City to the sword at St Mary's, with Cyle Larin scoring twice and the hosts converting their chances with clinical efficiency in a 4-1 Championship victory. The scoreline tells you everything you need to know about who competed harder on the day.

EFL ChampionshipSat 12 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Southampton beat Bristol City 4-1 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
C
38'⚽
Cyle Larin2 goals in match
FAssist: Finn Azaz
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton 1.95 xGBristol City 2.43 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Southampton to win

49%Matched

Result

Southampton4:1Bristol City

Southampton v Bristol City

Our model called Southampton to win at 49%. Southampton 4-1 Bristol City. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Southampton beat Bristol City 4-1 at St. Mary's Stadium in the EFL Championship. Our model backed a Southampton win at 49% probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had scored in each of their last five matches, though Southampton's recent form showed three wins and two draws across that stretch. The hosts dominated to secure a comfortable victory. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Southampton v Bristol City · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Cyle Larin★ MOTM2 goals · 78 min7.9
  2. Finn AzazSouthampton1 goal · 2 assists · 88 min7.9
  3. Keven Schlotterbeck90 min7.7
  4. Lorent Tolaj1 goal · 83 min7.4
  5. Rio Cardines1 assist · 78 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SouthamptonBristol CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Southampton
49.1%
Draw
27.4%
Bristol City
23.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.4%
Over 2.5 goals
48.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Southampton win was the highest probability; the match result was Southampton win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 3-1is the most common scoreline between Southampton and Bristol City, landing 2 times across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 42league matches at home unbeaten for Southampton.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Bristol City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bristol City scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bristol City have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Divin Mubama has the highest listed average xGOT for Southampton at 0.76 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Southampton vs Bristol City?
    Southampton beat Bristol City 4-1 in the EFL Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Cyle Larin opened the scoring in the 38th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Cyle Larin (38'), Cyle Larin (61'), Lorent Tolaj (66'), Kuryu Matsuki (82'), Finn Azaz (85').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Samuel Allison officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Southampton vs Bristol City kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Southampton play QPR on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Bristol City play Bolton Wanderers on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.