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Major League SoccerRef: Lorenzo Hernandez
Full time

This match had live commentary; no stats, momentum or in-play prices.

SJ Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers result, stats and report

SJ Earthquakes
Won · xG 1.32
3 – 1
FT 15:35
Lost · xG 1.48
Portland Timbers
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: SJ Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids · Thu 29 Oct · St. Louis City v Portland Timbers · Thu 29 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SJ EarthquakesPortland TimbersMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives SJ Earthquakes win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SJE
50.6%
Draw
23.6%
POT
25.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.6%
Over 2.5 goals
58.6%

Full-time forecast audit: SJ Earthquakes win was the highest probability; the match result was SJ Earthquakes win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

51%
24%
26%
50.6%SJE
23.6%Draw
25.8%POT

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.6%No 40.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SJE or draw at 56.6%; the most likely half-time state is SJE leading at half-time at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
56.6%
12
5.2%
X2
38.2%

Half-Time Result

SJE
40.3%
Draw
35.7%
POT
24.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SJE
Draw
POT
SJE
31.1%
6.2%
2.9%
Draw
15.3%
11.5%
8.9%
POT
4.7%
5.8%
13.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.