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SC Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and AZ Alkmaar won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
SC Heerenveen dominated large portions of this Eredivisie fixture but AZ Alkmaar took the points with a clinical first-half double, holding on despite a late Heerenveen fightback that fell one goal short.
SC Heerenveen dominated large portions of this Eredivisie fixture but AZ Alkmaar took the points with a clinical first-half double, holding on despite a late Heerenveen fightback that fell one goal short.
EredivisieSun 6 Sept, 13:30
Key Takeaways
Result
AZ Alkmaar won 3-2 away at SC Heerenveen.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
R
7'⚽
Ro-Zangelo Daal
WAssist: Wouter Goes
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Heerenveen 0.55 xGAZ Alkmaar 0.88 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
AZ Alkmaar to win
48%Matched
Result
2:3
SC Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar
Our model called AZ Alkmaar to win at 48%. SC Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
AZ Alkmaar won 3-2 at Heerenveen in an Eredivisie match that saw both sides find the net. Our model backed the visitors at 48 percent probability, and the pick landed. Heerenveen pressed early but AZ's attacking intent proved decisive despite a late rally from the hosts. The result extended AZ's recent edge in the fixture and capped a volatile contest at the Abe Lenstra Stadion. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
SC Heerenveen
30.4%
Draw
21.9%
AZ Alkmaar
47.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.4%
Over 2.5 goals
65.5%
Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was AZ Alkmaar win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.