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Bundesliga · MW1 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im BreisgauRef: Daniel Siebert
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen result, stats and report

SC Freiburg
Won · xG 1.78
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.25
Werder Bremen
Next: SC Freiburg v Schalke 04 · Sun 11 Oct · Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · Fri 9 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SC FreiburgWerder BremenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives SC Freiburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.3%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

SC Freiburg
52.3%
Draw
23.6%
Werder Bremen
24.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

52%
24%
24%
52.3%SC Freiburg
23.6%Draw
24.1%Werder Bremen

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SC Freiburg or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.9%.

Double Chance

1X
53.5%
12
5.6%
X2
40.9%

Half-Time Result

SC Freiburg
35.5%
Draw
39.6%
Werder Bremen
24.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SC Freiburg
Draw
Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
28.4%
5.7%
2.9%
Draw
15.1%
13.2%
9.4%
Werder Bremen
3.6%
4.7%
16.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.9%
No
89.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.