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Bundesliga · MW5 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im BreisgauRef: Martin Petersen
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

SC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04 result, stats and report

SC Freiburg
Won · xG 1.17
2 – 1
FT 02:05
Lost · xG 0.45
Schalke 04
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg · Thu 5 Nov · 1899 Hoffenheim v Schalke 04 · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?

SC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

SC Freiburg won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 02:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

SC Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04

SC Freiburg arrive at this Bundesliga fixture in decent nick, with three wins from their last five. Schalke 04 arrive with no goals in two outings and a squad ravaged by injuries. Connor Maguire has seen enough.

Key Takeaways
Result

SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
10'⚽
Maximilian Eggestein
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg 1.17 xGSchalke 04 0.45 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

SC Freiburg to win

44%Matched

Result

SC Freiburg2:1Schalke 04

SC Freiburg v S04

Our model called SC Freiburg to win at 44%. SC Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Freiburg beat Schalke 2-1 at Europa-Park Stadion in a match that turned on discipline. Eggestein put the hosts ahead in the tenth minute; Karaman equalised for Schalke at the half-hour mark. Freiburg restored their lead before Suzuki's red card in the sixty-fourth minute left them defending with ten men for the final stretch. Our model backed a Freiburg win at 44 percent probability, and the pick landed. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

SC Freiburg v Schalke 04 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maximilian EggesteinSC Freiburg★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.6
  2. Adrian GantenbeinS041 assist · 79 min7.3
  3. Kenan KaramanS041 goal · 90 min7.2
  4. Matthias GinterSC Freiburg90 min7.2
  5. Keisuke GotoSC Freiburg1 goal · 21 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives SC Freiburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.1%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

SC Freiburg
44.1%
Draw
24.0%
S04
32.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.1%
Over 2.5 goals
62.1%

Full-time forecast audit: SC Freiburg win was the highest probability; the match result was SC Freiburg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Bundesliga· published 14:12lost
FC Schalke 04 to win

Logged at 5.66 with PinnacleNot licensed in the UK

Pinnacle offered this at 01:05 on 11 Oct, but you can't bet there from the UK.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record 88ec7d1f-b387-464a-bb16-d9226b8c3d55 · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Schalke 04, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 24 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Schalke 04, the final recorded goal situation matched 14 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For SC Freiburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 24 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For SC Freiburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between SC Freiburg and Schalke 04, landing 4 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 3/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (16.7%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 18league matches at home unbeaten for SC Freiburg.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • SC Freiburg scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Schalke 04 scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • SC Freiburg have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
    SC Freiburg beat S04 2-1 in the Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Maximilian Eggestein opened the scoring in the 10th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Maximilian Eggestein (10'), Adrian Gantenbein (30'), Keisuke Goto (85').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Martin Petersen officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    SC Freiburg vs S04 kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at Europa-Park Stadion.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    SC Freiburg play Trabzonspor on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. S04 play 1899 Hoffenheim on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.