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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW1 Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im BreisgauRef: Edgars Maļcevs
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec result, stats and report

SC Freiburg
Won · xG 2.29
3 – 2
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.34
Jablonec
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg · Thu 5 Nov · Riga v Jablonec · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SC FreiburgJablonecUEFA Europa Conference League

The provider forecast gives SC Freiburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SC Freiburg
56.6%
Draw
22.9%
Jablonec
20.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%

Full-time forecast audit: SC Freiburg win was the highest probability; the match result was SC Freiburg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
23%
20%
56.6%SC Freiburg
22.9%Draw
20.5%Jablonec

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.2%No 49.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
6.3%
3-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SC Freiburg or draw at 56.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.5%.

Double Chance

1X
56.7%
12
6.3%
X2
37.0%

Half-Time Result

SC Freiburg
36.9%
Draw
42.0%
Jablonec
21.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SC Freiburg
Draw
Jablonec
SC Freiburg
33.1%
4.9%
1.8%
Draw
17.3%
14.2%
8.1%
Jablonec
2.9%
5.1%
12.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.5%
No
88.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.