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Sarpsborg 08 2 Fredrikstad 1, full time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Sarpsborg 08 2–1 Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 edged a tense Norwegian derby 2-1 against local rivals Fredrikstad, with the result leaving the visitors' outside title hopes looking shakier by the week.
Our pick
Sarpsborg 08 to win
Result
SAR v FRE
Sarpsborg 08 beat Fredrikstad 2-1 at home.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Sarpsborg 08 1.65 to Fredrikstad 0.81 on expected goals.


Sarpsborg 08 edged a tense Norwegian derby 2-1 against local rivals Fredrikstad, with the result leaving the visitors' outside title hopes looking shakier by the week.
Read full report →Expected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the Norwegian Eliteserien standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodø / Glimt | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| 2 | Viking | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 37 |
| 3 | Tromsø | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| 4 | Lillestrøm | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | HamKam | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
The match finished 2-1 to Sarpsborg 08.
Sarpsborg 08 won the match 2-1.
The match took place on Saturday, 9 May 2026.
Sarpsborg 08 defeated Fredrikstad 2-1 in Norwegian Eliteserien play. Our model favoured a Sarpsborg win at 40 percent probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had stumbled through their last five matches with identical records of one win and three losses, though Fredrikstad arrived with a higher likelihood of both teams scoring. The home side's narrow victory marked a rare bright spot in an otherwise difficult run for either team. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Both sides languish in the bottom half, separated by one position. Sarpsborg's defensive record is marginally better; Fredrikstad generate more attacking chances but leak goals consistently. Neither team has momentum. This fixture offers both a chance to climb; our model suggests vulnerability in both backlines could produce an open contest. Six points separate them from mid-table safety.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Sarpsborg 08 v Fredrikstad · Norwegian Eliteserien · 09/05/2026, 13:00:00