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Major League SoccerRef: Tori Penso
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

San Diego 3-1 LA Galaxy result, stats and report

San Diego
Won · xG 1.94
3 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.39
LA Galaxy
Next: New York RB v San Diego · Sun 11 Oct · St. Louis City v LA Galaxy · Mon 12 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

San DiegoLA GalaxyMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives San Diego win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SDL
51.7%
Draw
24.3%
LAG
24.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

52%
24%
24%
51.7%SDL
24.3%Draw
24.0%LAG

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.2%No 40.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.8%No 41.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SDL or draw at 60.4%; the most likely half-time state is SDL leading at half-time at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.3%.

Double Chance

1X
60.4%
12
5.3%
X2
34.2%

Half-Time Result

SDL
40.8%
Draw
38.5%
LAG
20.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SDL
Draw
LAG
SDL
32.8%
5.4%
2.9%
Draw
18.1%
12.6%
7.3%
LAG
4.2%
5.2%
11.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.3%
No
87.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.