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Ligue 1 · MW2 Roazhon Park, RennesRef: Romain Lissorgue
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Rennes 3-2 Le Mans result, stats and report

Rennes
Won · xG 1.39
3 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 2.40
Le Mans
Next: Rennes v OFI · Thu 15 Oct · Le Mans v Toulouse · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

RennesLe MansLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Rennes win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.1%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Rennes
43.1%
Draw
26.3%
LE
30.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
50.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
26%
31%
43.1%Rennes
26.3%Draw
30.6%LE

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.7%No 49.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LE or draw at 47.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
44.2%
12
8.0%
X2
47.8%

Half-Time Result

Rennes
28.1%
Draw
41.5%
LE
30.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Rennes
Draw
LE
Rennes
20.6%
5.5%
2.4%
Draw
11.9%
16.7%
12.0%
LE
2.9%
5.4%
22.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.