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RB Leipzig 2 FC St. Pauli 1, full time in the Bundesliga. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig secured a 2-1 victory over FC St. Pauli at the Red Bull Arena, a result that underlines the gulf in class between a team competing for European football and one fighting, with diminishing hope, against the inevitable.
Our pick
RB Leipzig to win
Result
2:1RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig beat FC St. Pauli 2-1 at home.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: RB Leipzig 2.22 to FC St. Pauli 0.65 on expected goals.
Assist: Christoph Baumgartner
RB Leipzig secured a 2-1 victory over FC St. Pauli at the Red Bull Arena, a result that underlines the gulf in class between a team competing for European football and one fighting, with diminishing hope, against the inevitable.
Read full report →
Castello LukebaXaver SchlagerChristoph Baumgartner
Willi Orbán
Fin Stevens
Nicolas Seiwald
Max Finkgräfe
Abdoulie Ceesay
Antonio NusaAbdoulie Ceesay
Benjamin HenrichsExpected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the Bundesliga standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The match finished 2-1 to RB Leipzig.
RB Leipzig won the match 2-1.
The match took place on Saturday, 9 May 2026.
RB Leipzig defeated FC St. Pauli 2-1 at Leipzig Stadium, with our model's 68% pick for a Leipzig win landing as expected. The hosts extended their recent form, taking three wins from their last five matches, while St. Pauli's struggles continued following a run of four losses in five games. Both sides found the net in a match that aligned with Leipzig's tendency toward goals; the team had seen both teams score in 80% of recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Leipzig chase a top-three finish in a congested midtable battle; St. Pauli face a relegation scrap 14 points adrift. The 14-point gap reflects the gulf in current form and squad quality. Leipzig's attacking output contrasts sharply with St. Pauli's vulnerability. Our AI engine suggests a one-sided contest; Leipzig's recent inconsistency remains their only variable.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga ·
More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds
Edge · SportSignals+
Closing-line value and settled EV for every pick in this match.
Open SportSignals+Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
