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La Liga · MW11 Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
6d 3h
Rayo Vallecano 36%Draw 32%Celta Vigo 32%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Rayo Vallecano or Celta Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65.5% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Rayo Vallecano winning 0, Celta Vigo winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Rayo Vallecano has the highest forecast probability · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw32.1%
BTTS yes44.6%

Updated

Over 2.536.1%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
8.9
xG for
8▼ -0.9
Goals
9.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
7.0
xG for
10▲ +3.0
Goals
6.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Rayo VallecanoNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Rayo Vallecano recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.46
2D11.79
3D11.68
4W21.53
5L11.27
6W31.19
Celta VigoNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Celta Vigo recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.40
2W20.85
3L10.83
4D00.28
5W52.25
6L01.40
Celta Vigo have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 8.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Rayo Vallecano generated 8.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 0.9 below that chance total. Celta Vigo generated 7.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 3.0 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Rayo Vallecano: 6 matches · Celta Vigo: 6
Recent team comparison. Rayo Vallecano sample 6; Celta Vigo sample 6.
MeasureRayo VallecanoCelta Vigo
Goals / game1.331.67
Conceded / game20.83
xG / game1.481.17
xG conceded / game1.631.03
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:15
Rayo Vallecano11 starters
24Lejeune
32Mendy
3Chavarría
2Rațiu
6Ciss
17López
10Camello
18García
19Frutos
12Akhomach
Celta Vigo11 starters
29Lago
20Alonso
24Domínguezdoubt
17Rueda
12Fernández
6Moriba
16Román
23Álvarez
Out / doubtful
🩹 Miguel Román injury · 🩹 Carl Starfelt injury · 🩹 Iago Aspas injury · 🩹 Pablo Durán injury · 🩹 Borja Iglesias injury · ❓ Carlos Domínguez suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
    Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo takes place on Saturday 31 October at 15:15 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid.
  • Who is the model backing in Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 65% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Celta Vigo?
    In their last 2 meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, Celta Vigo won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 31 Oct, 15:15 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.