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EFL Championship · MW5 MATRADE Loftus Road, LondonRef: Andy Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough result, stats and report

QPR
Lost · xG 1.53
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 2.07
Middlesbrough
Next: QPR v Derby · Wed 14 Oct · Stoke City v Middlesbrough · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

QPRMiddlesbroughEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Middlesbrough win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QPR
35.1%
Draw
25.2%
Middlesbrough
39.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.9%
Over 2.5 goals
54.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
25%
40%
35.1%QPR
25.2%Draw
39.8%Middlesbrough

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.0%No 46.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Middlesbrough or draw at 54.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
39.4%
12
6.2%
X2
54.4%

Half-Time Result

QPR
24.7%
Draw
39.8%
Middlesbrough
35.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
QPR
Draw
Middlesbrough
QPR
16.2%
5.3%
3.0%
Draw
10.6%
14.9%
14.7%
Middlesbrough
2.0%
6.0%
27.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.