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UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRef: Rohit Saggi
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Qarabağ 1-4 Twente result, stats and report

Qarabağ
Lost · xG 0.41
1 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.52
Twente
Next: Twente v Thun · Thu 15 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Qarabağ win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QAR
43.8%
Draw
23.7%
Twente
32.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.4%
Over 2.5 goals
56.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
24%
33%
43.8%QAR
23.7%Draw
32.5%Twente

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.7%No 43.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates QAR or draw at 53.9%; the most likely half-time state is QAR leading at half-time at 36.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.6%.

Double Chance

1X
53.9%
12
6.1%
X2
40.0%

Half-Time Result

QAR
36.2%
Draw
34.3%
Twente
29.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
QAR
Draw
Twente
QAR
28.7%
4.8%
2.3%
Draw
15.4%
11.4%
9.1%
Twente
3.6%
4.6%
20.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.6%
No
91.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.