Portsmouth vs Derby pre-match centre
Portsmouth
Kicks off in
4d 1h
Derby
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Provider prediction · not a Tip
Match intelligence
PortsmouthDerbyEFL Championship
The provider forecast gives Portsmouth win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.6%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.
- Portsmouth
- 38.6%
- Draw
- 27.0%
- Derby
- 34.4%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 53.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49.6%
Provider forecast checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- SportMonks supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus Edge
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
39%
27%
34%
38.6%Portsmouth
27.0%Draw
34.4%Derby
Both Teams to Score
Yes 53.9%No 46.1%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 49.6%No 50.4%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Most Likely Correct Scores
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates Derby or draw at 47.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.
Double Chance
1X
45.6%
12
7.4%
X2
47.0%
Half-Time Result
Portsmouth
28.0%
Draw
44.7%
Derby
27.3%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
Portsmouth
Draw
Derby
Portsmouth
20.5%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
12.3%
18.2%
13.6%
Derby
3.0%
5.9%
18.6%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.