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League One · MW8Ref: Simon Mather
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burton Albion result, stats and report

Plymouth Argyle
Lost · xG 1.64
0 – 1
FT 01:35
Won · xG 0.97
Burton Albion
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Plymouth Argyle v Reading · Sat 31 Oct · Wycombe Wanderers v Burton Albion · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Plymouth ArgyleBurton AlbionLeague One

The provider forecast gives Plymouth Argyle win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PLA
51.9%
Draw
23.9%
BRA
24.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Plymouth Argyle win was the highest probability; the match result was Burton Albion win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

52%
24%
24%
51.9%PLA
23.9%Draw
24.2%BRA

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.3%No 43.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.4%No 44.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PLA or draw at 58.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.6%.

Double Chance

1X
58.3%
12
5.9%
X2
35.8%

Half-Time Result

PLA
36.7%
Draw
43.2%
BRA
20.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PLA
Draw
BRA
PLA
30.3%
5.2%
1.8%
Draw
17.1%
15.4%
9.3%
BRA
4.3%
4.3%
12.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.6%
No
89.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.