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League One · MW8Ref: Simon Mather
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burton Albion result, stats and report

Plymouth Argyle
Lost · xG 1.64
0 – 1
FT 01:35
Won · xG 0.97
Burton Albion
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Plymouth Argyle v Reading · Sat 31 Oct · Wycombe Wanderers v Burton Albion · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion?

Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burton Albion, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

BRA won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 01:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Plymouth Argyle 0–1 Burton Albion

Plymouth Argyle host Burton Albion on Saturday looking to build on a solid run of League One form, while Burton arrive having drawn more matches than most sides would care to admit. Something has to give.

Key Takeaways
Result

Burton Albion won 1-0 away at Plymouth Argyle.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
70'⚽
Jack Armer
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Plymouth Argyle 1.64 xGBurton Albion 0.97 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Plymouth Argyle to win

52%Missed

Result

Plymouth Argyle0:1Burton Albion

PLA v BRA

Our model leaned Plymouth Argyle to win at 52%. Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burton Albion. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Plymouth Argyle fell to Burton Albion 0-1 at home in League One. Our model backed Plymouth at 52 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Jack Armer broke the deadlock in the 70th minute to settle the contest. Plymouth had won two of their last five, while Burton arrived winless in that span but with both teams scoring in all five of their recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion · League One ·

More from this competition: League One predictions · League One odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Curtis Tilt★ MOTM90 min7.5
  2. F. DelapBRA90 min7.4
  3. J. ArmerBRA1 goal · 90 min7.4
  4. H. White90 min7.3
  5. Corey Addai90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Plymouth Argyle win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PLA
51.9%
Draw
23.9%
BRA
24.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Plymouth Argyle win was the highest probability; the match result was Burton Albion win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Plymouth Argyle and Burton Albion, landing 2 times across 10 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5/10recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12league matches at home unbeaten for Plymouth Argyle.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Plymouth Argyle scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Plymouth Argyle have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Burton Albion have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Aribim Pepple has the highest listed average xGOT for Plymouth Argyle at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Curtis Tilt has the highest listed average xGOT for Burton Albion at 0.97 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion?
    BRA beat PLA 1-0 in the League One.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jack Armer opened the scoring in the 70th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jack Armer (70').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Simon Mather officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    PLA vs BRA kicked off on Saturday, 26 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    PLA play Plymouth Argyle on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. BRA play Wycombe Wanderers on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.