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Eredivisie · MW4 MAC³PARK Stadion, ZwolleRef: Joey Kooij
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen result, stats and report

PEC Zwolle
Lost · xG 1.72
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.77
NEC Nijmegen
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles · Sun 18 Oct · NEC Nijmegen v Levski Sofia · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PEC ZwolleNEC NijmegenEredivisie

The provider forecast gives NEC Nijmegen win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PEC Zwolle
28.2%
Draw
24.0%
NEC Nijmegen
47.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
24%
48%
28.2%PEC Zwolle
24.0%Draw
47.9%NEC Nijmegen

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.5%No 46.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NEC Nijmegen or draw at 56.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
37.2%
12
6.3%
X2
56.5%

Half-Time Result

PEC Zwolle
21.9%
Draw
40.2%
NEC Nijmegen
37.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PEC Zwolle
Draw
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
14.8%
4.4%
3.5%
Draw
10.3%
13.6%
16.6%
NEC Nijmegen
2.7%
4.5%
29.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.