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Serie A · MW3 Stadio Ennio Tardini, ParmaRef: Federico La Penna
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Parma 1-1 Monza result, stats and report

Parma
Drew · xG 0.79
1 – 1
FT 09:35
Drew · xG 0.85
Monza
Next: Parma v Torino · Mon 19 Oct · Monza v Cagliari · Mon 19 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ParmaMonzaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Parma
35.0%
Draw
27.1%
MON
37.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.9%
Over 2.5 goals
47.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
27%
38%
35.0%Parma
27.1%Draw
37.9%MON

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.9%No 48.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.4%No 52.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MON or draw at 48.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.8%.

Double Chance

1X
43.8%
12
8.1%
X2
48.1%

Half-Time Result

Parma
27.2%
Draw
44.4%
MON
28.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Parma
Draw
MON
Parma
19.1%
4.5%
2.2%
Draw
12.6%
20.0%
13.3%
MON
1.9%
5.3%
21.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.8%
No
96.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.