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Serie A · MW7Ref: Andrea Calzavara
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Monza 4-0 Cagliari result, stats and report

Monza
Won · xG 1.29
4 – 0
FT 03:05
Lost · xG 2.09
Cagliari
Next: Monza v Atalanta · Sun 8 Nov · Cagliari v Frosinone · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza 4-0 Cagliari, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

Match Review · published 19 Oct 2026, 20:10 BST

Monza 4-0 Cagliari: Varela Brace Caps Dominant Home Win

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Monza put on a ruthless display at home, goals from Eddy Kouadio, Gustavo Varela (twice) and Jay Robinson handing Cagliari a 4-0 defeat despite the visitors having more of the ball.

Read the review
How it played out

MON won it 4–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 03:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Monza 4–0 Cagliari

Monza put on a ruthless display at home, goals from Eddy Kouadio, Gustavo Varela (twice) and Jay Robinson handing Cagliari a 4-0 defeat despite the visitors having more of the ball.

Key Takeaways
Result

Monza beat Cagliari 4-0 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Monza won against the run of the chances: Monza 1.29 to Cagliari 2.09 on expected goals, which favoured Cagliari.

First Goal
E
39'⚽
Eddy Kouadio
DAssist: Dany Mota
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Monza 1.29 xGCagliari 2.09 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Monza to win

43%Matched

Result

Monza4:0Cagliari

MON v Cagliari

Our model called Monza to win at 43%. Monza 4-0 Cagliari. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Monza beat Cagliari 4-0 in Serie A, with goals from Eddy Kouadio in the 39th minute, Gustavo Varela in the 47th, and Jay Robinson in the 66th. Our model backed a Monza win at 43% probability; the pick landed. The result marked a sharp reversal for Monza, who had won none of their previous five matches. Cagliari, arriving on a four-win run, offered little resistance on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Monza v Cagliari · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Eddy KouadioMON★ MOTM1 goal · 81 min8.1
  2. Noel TörnqvistMON90 min7.9
  3. Saba GoglichidzeMON90 min7.4
  4. Jay RobinsonMON1 goal · 87 min7.4
  5. Alessandro DeiolaCagliari9 min6.9

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MON
42.7%
Draw
25.3%
Cagliari
32.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.3%
Over 2.5 goals
52.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was Monza win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Cagliari, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Cagliari, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Monza, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Monza, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Monza and Cagliari, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Cagliari.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Monza scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Cagliari scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Monza have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Monza vs Cagliari?
    MON beat Cagliari 4-0 in the Serie A.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Eddy Kouadio opened the scoring in the 39th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Eddy Kouadio (39'), Gustavo Varela (47'), Jay Robinson (66'), Gustavo Varela (79').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Andrea Calzavara officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    MON vs Cagliari kicked off on Monday, 19 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    MON play Monza on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Cagliari play Frosinone on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.