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Serie A · MW5 Stadio Ennio Tardini, ParmaRef: Maurizio Mariani
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Parma 2-1 Genoa result, stats and report

Parma
Parma
Won · xG 0.50
2 – 1
FT 02:55
Genoa
Lost · xG 0.44
Genoa
Match review
Next: Lazio v Parma · Sat 24 Oct · Genoa v Venezia · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Parma vs Genoa?

Parma 2-1 Genoa, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Match Review · published 20 Sept 2026, 19:00 BST

Parma 2-1 Genoa: Almqvist Strikes Late to Hand Struggling Side a Vital Win

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Parma ground out a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Genoa at home, with substitute Pontus Almqvist scoring the winner on 80 minutes to end a run of poor form. Genoa dominated large portions of the match but could not convert their superiority into goals when it…

Read the review
How it played out

Parma won it 2–1

ParmaGenoa

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 02:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Parma 2–1 Genoa

Parma ground out a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Genoa at home, with substitute Pontus Almqvist scoring the winner on 80 minutes to end a run of poor form. Genoa dominated large portions of the match but could not convert their superiority into goals when it mattered.

Serie ASun 20 Sept, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Parma beat Genoa 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
38'⚽
David Romero
EAssist: El Bilal Touré
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma 0.50 xGGenoa 0.44 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Parma to win

40%Matched

Result

Parma2:1Genoa

Parma v Genoa

Our model called Parma to win at 40%. Parma 2-1 Genoa. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Parma beat Genoa 2-1 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. Our model backed a Parma win at 40 percent probability, and the pick landed. David Romero opened the scoring in the 38th minute. Milutin Osmajic equalized for Genoa in the 70th, but Pontus Almqvist restored Parma's lead in the 80th to secure three points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Parma v Genoa · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Junior MessiasGenoa★ MOTM85 min7.8
  2. Djibril Sow85 min7.2
  3. Edoardo CorviParma90 min7.2
  4. Nesta Elphege1 assist · 33 min7.2
  5. Leo ØstigårdGenoa90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ParmaGenoaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Parma win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Parma
39.9%
Draw
29.9%
Genoa
30.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
44.0%
Over 2.5 goals
36.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Parma win was the highest probability; the match result was Parma win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Parma and Genoa, landing 3 times across 15 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/15recorded league meetings saw both teams score (53.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Parma scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Genoa scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Parma have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Genoa have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • David Romero has the highest listed average xGOT for Parma at 1.04 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Milutin Osmajic has the highest listed average xGOT for Genoa at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Parma vs Genoa?
    Parma beat Genoa 2-1 in the Serie A at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    David Romero opened the scoring in the 38th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    David Romero (38'), Milutin Osmajic (70'), Pontus Almqvist (80').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Maurizio Mariani officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Parma vs Genoa kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Parma play Lazio on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Genoa play Venezia on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.