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Ligue 1 · MW6 Parc des Princes, ParisRef: Mathieu Vernice
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans result, stats and report

Paris Saint Germain
Won · xG 3.70
3 – 1
FT 07:45
Lost · xG 1.49
Le Mans
Next: Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain · Fri 30 Oct · Troyes v Le Mans · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Paris Saint GermainLe MansLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Paris Saint Germain win the highest 1X2 probability at 70.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Paris Saint Germain
70.6%
Draw
18.7%
LE
10.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.2%
Over 2.5 goals
55.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Paris Saint Germain win was the highest probability; the match result was Paris Saint Germain win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

71%
19%
70.6%Paris Saint Germain
18.7%Draw
10.7%LE

Both Teams to Score

45%
Yes 45.2%No 54.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.8%No 44.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Paris Saint Germain or draw at 70.0%; the most likely half-time state is Paris Saint Germain leading at half-time at 54.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 19.1%.

Double Chance

1X
70.0%
12
6.8%
X2
23.2%

Half-Time Result

Paris Saint Germain
54.3%
Draw
32.4%
LE
13.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Paris Saint Germain
Draw
LE
Paris Saint Germain
52.4%
3.5%
1.4%
Draw
16.8%
9.0%
4.2%
LE
3.7%
3.3%
5.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
19.1%
No
80.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.